Democratic Nominee Odds
We selected 3 over the past few days to watch, based on the cities involved. All three feature gay or lesbian couples. Given the gov’t figures I’ve seen for gay and lesbian couples in the US, the statistical odds against that using random sampling techniques is virtually zero. The top Democrat on the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee on Monday blamed partisan gridlock for stalling the confirmation of President Joe Biden's attorney general nominee, Merrick Garland, and called on Republicans to set a Feb. 8 confirmation hearing. In a letter to the Judiciary Committee chairman, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, incoming Democratic Chairman Dick Durbin said it was.
Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted
Democratic Nominee Odds
FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the primary season, along with a range of possible delegate counts. We’re also showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.
Latest Democratic Nominee Odds
FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. We’re showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.